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War-Risk Underwriting · Demo

Strait of Hormuz Underwriting Brief

A weekly operating picture of the Strait of Hormuz — last 7 days, sized for a marine war-risk underwriter pricing a tanker hull/war policy. Built on the GDELT Cloud public API + MCP macro snapshot. Other demos →

Last refreshed: 2026-08-01 18:30 UTC · auto-refreshed every 24h
Download SKILL.mdView on GitHub
Executive brief
Strait of Hormuz · weekly · last 7 days
  • Volume
    100 structured events and 40 story clusters across 4 countries, 2026-05-15 → 2026-05-21.
  • Dominant narrative
    Largest story cluster: "Drone attack sparks fire at UAE Barakah nuclear power plant" (96 articles). Most-mentioned actors: Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, Iran CNN, Iran.
  • Casualties
    No fatal incidents recorded in the window — narrative dominated by political and infrastructure events, not direct kinetic exchanges.
  • Macro context
    Brent Crude Oil +11.6% over the window (now 89.4 USD/bbl). Move is consistent with elevated risk premium.
  • Infrastructure
    60 oil/gas + LNG assets in the geographic window (75.0 GW total) — defines the exposure footprint for shipping, insurance, and energy security.
Bottom line · Pricing posture: war-risk premium justifies a 15-35bps uplift on through-strait tonnage given the macro move and 100+ in-window events.
Events
100
Iran · Oman · UAE · Qatar
Fatal incidents
0
0 fatalities
Story clusters
40
≥12 articles
Energy MW at risk
75.0k
across 60 assets

Section 1 — Event timeline · structured incidents by date

2026-05-15 → 2026-05-21 · 15 events
Hover any dot for detail · click to open the event pageSize = magnitude · Color = category

Section 2 — Strait of Hormuz disruption picture

Layers

Legend · circles = events (size = magnitude, color = Goldstein severity) · diamonds = story clusters (size = article count) · squares = oil/gas + LNG terminals · click any marker for detail. Persian Gulf carries ~20% of global oil flow through the strait.

Section 3 — Marine war-risk macro · 30-day trend

Brent Crude Oil
89.4 USD/bbl▲ +11.6%
2026-03-222026-05-20
WTI Crude Oil
85.6 USD/bbl▲ +12.9%
2026-03-222026-05-20

Source: Alpha Vantage via GDELT Cloud MCP macro_finance proxy.

Section 4 — Top events · stories · named entities

Events · structured incidents · by significance

Stories · article clusters · by reach

Named entities

Web research · narrative context

Lloyd's List (sample)· 2026-05-17
War-risk insurance premiums spike on Strait of Hormuz tankers

Marine war-risk underwriters lifted premiums on VLCCs transiting the Strait of Hormuz by 35 basis points this week, citing escalating tensions...

Reuters (sample)· 2026-05-12
IRGC seizes Greek-flagged tanker near Larak Island

Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps boarded and seized a Greek-flagged tanker near Larak Island, the third such seizure this year...

FT (sample)· 2026-05-08
GCC oil ministers warn of supply disruption risk

Gulf Cooperation Council oil ministers convened an emergency session as renewed Strait of Hormuz tensions threaten to disrupt 20% of global oil flow...

How this demo is built: every panel above is rendered from the GDELT Cloud public REST API (events, stories, entities, energy assets) plus a daily snapshot of the macro_finance and web_research MCP tools. The standalone Python repo at github.com/gdelt-cloud/demos reproduces this entire brief with one API key.